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6191 - 隨機過程 Stochastic Processes


教育目標 Course Target

The objective of this course is to introduce basic concepts for stochastic processes. The main focus will be on studying analytical models for systems which change states stochastically with time. The topics include: 1. Markov Chains 1A. Hidden Markov Models 2. Poisson processes 2A. Non-homogeneous Poisson processes 3. Continuous-Time Markov Chain 3A. Queueing Models 4. Renewal Theorem 4A. Apply Renewal Theorem to Reliability 5. Brownian motion and MArtingales 5A. Black-Scholes Models and Related Topics The objective of this course is to introduce basic concepts for stochastic processes. The main focus will be on studying analytical models for systems which change states stochastically with time. The topics include: 1.Markov Chains 1A. Hidden Markov Models 2.Poisson processes 2A. Non-homogeneous Poisson processes 3. Continuous-Time Markov Chain 3A.Queueing Models 4. Renewal Theorem 4A. Apply Renewal Theorem to Reliability 5.Brownian motion and MArtingales 5A. Black-Scholes Models and Related Topics


課程概述 Course Description

The objective of this course is to introduce basic concepts for stochastic processes. The main focus will be on studying analytical models for systems which change states stochastically with time. This is a course for studying probabilistic models rather than statistical models. Thus, background on probability and mathematical statistics are necessary. We will begin right after �onditional probability�and �onditional expectation� Students will learn concepts and techniques for characterizing models stochastically. This will help students for further study. The topics of this course include basic processes, stochastic models, and diffusion processes. Contents of this course might be adjusted according to time limitation and students�interests. They are: 1.Preliminaries: lack of memory property, transformations, inequalities, limit theorems, notations of stochastic processes 2.Markov chains: Chapman-Kolmogorov equation, classification of chains, long run behavior of Markov chains, branch processes, random walk 3.Poisson processes: Inter-arrival time distributions, conditional waiting time distributions, non-homogeneous Poisson processes 4.Continuous-time Markov chains: birth-death processes, compound Poisson processes, finite-state Markov chains 5.Renewal processes: renewal functions, limit theorems, delayed and stationary renewal processes, queueing 6.Stochastic models: Markov renewal processes, marked processes 7.Martingales: conditional expectations, filtrations, stopping time, martingale CLT 8.Diffusion Processes: Brownian motions, It�s formula, Black-Scholes Model, Girsanov Theorem
The objective of this course is to introduce basic concepts for stochastic processes. The main focus will be on studying analytical models for systems which change states stochastically with time. This is a course for studying probabilistic models rather than statistical models. Thus, background on probability and mathematical statistics are necessary. We will begin right after �onditional probability�and �onditional expectation� Students will learn concepts and techniques for characterizing models stochastically. This will help students for further study. The topics of this course include basic processes, stochastic models , and diffusion processes. Contents of this course might be adjusted according to time limitation and students’ interests. They are: 1.Preliminaries: lack of memory property, transformations, inequalities, limit theorems, notations of stochastic processes 2.Markov chains: Chapman-Kolmogorov equation, classification of chains, long run behavior of Markov chains, branch processes, random walk 3.Poisson processes: Inter-arrival time distributions, conditional waiting time distributions, non-homogeneous Poisson processes 4.Continuous-time Markov chains: birth-death processes, compound Poisson processes, finite-state Markov chains 5.Renewal processes: renewal functions, limit theorems, delayed and stationary renewal processes, queuing 6.Stochastic models: Markov renewal processes, marked processes 7.Martinales: conditional expectations, filtrations, stopping time, martingale CLT 8.Diffusion Processes: Brownian motions, Its formula, Black-Scholes Model, Girsanov Theorem


參考書目 Reference Books

1. Sheldon M. Ross (2014) Introduction to Probability Models, 11th ed, Academic Press
2. Sheldon M. Ross (1996) Stochastic Processes, 2nd ed, John Wiley , New York.
1. Sheldon M. Ross (2014) Introduction to Probability Models, 11th ed, Academic Press
2. Sheldon M. Ross (1996) Stochastic Processes, 2nd ed, John Wiley, New York.


評分方式 Grading

評分項目 Grading Method 配分比例 Grading percentage 說明 Description
AssignmentsAssignments
assignments
30 2-3 assignments
Mid-term ExamMid-term Exam
mid-term exam
30
Project ReportProject Report
project report
40

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Course Information

Description

學分 Credit:3-0
上課時間 Course Time:Tuesday/4[M108] Wednesday/3,4[M472]
授課教師 Teacher:王榮琮
修課班級 Class:統計碩博1,2
選課備註 Memo:
授課大綱 Course Plan: Open

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