為什麼立意良善的公共政策，推行之後會出現意想不到的結果？系統思考已經逐漸成為政策分析與評估的工具之一，而以系統思考為基礎的系統動力學(System Dynamics)，更以電腦模擬幫助政策分析家對於動態複雜的政策問題能有更整體的了解。本課程試圖幫助同學了解系統思考的基本觀念，並了解系統思考與日常生活的相關性，再藉由簡易政策模型的建立與模擬，來熟悉系統動力學在公共政策上的實際應用。Why do public policies with good intentions have unexpected results after implementation? Systems thinking has gradually become one of the tools for policy analysis and evaluation, and System Dynamics (System Dynamics), which is based on systems thinking, uses computer simulation to help policy analysts gain a more holistic understanding of dynamic and complex policy issues. This course attempts to help students understand the basic concepts of systems thinking and the relevance of systems thinking to daily life, and then become familiar with the practical application of system dynamics in public policy through the establishment and simulation of simple policy models.
系統思考(Systems Thinking)已逐漸成為政策分析與評估的重要思考方式，而以系統思考為基礎的系統動力學(System Dynamics)，更以政策模擬的方式，使政策分析家對動態且複雜的政策問題能有整體的了解。本課程試圖讓同學了解系統思考的基本觀念，並了解系統思考與我們日常生活的相關性，再藉由簡易政策模型的建立，以及對較複雜之政策模型的研究，來熟悉系統動力學在公共政策上的實際應用。
Systems Thinking has gradually become an important way of thinking for policy analysis and evaluation, and System Dynamics, which is based on systems thinking, uses policy simulation to enable policy analysts to analyze dynamic and complex policies. The problem can be understood as a whole. This course attempts to allow students to understand the basic concepts of systems thinking and understand the relevance of systems thinking to our daily lives. Through the establishment of simple policy models and the study of more complex policy models, students can become familiar with the role of system dynamics in public affairs. Practical application in policy.
一、專書
Sterman, John. 2000. Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. Boston, MA: McGraw-Hill.
Senge, Peter，2010。第五項修練：學習型組織的藝術與實務 (全新增訂版)。台北：天下文化。(博客來網路書店3/31之前打五折)。使用舊版書亦可。
韓釗，2009。系統動力學－探索動態複雜之鑰。台中：滄海書局。
二、期刊論文
Coyle, Geoff. 2000. “Qualitative and Quantitative Modelling in System Dynamics: Some Research Questions,” System Dynamics Review 16(3): 225-244.
Forrester, J.W., 2007a. “System Dynamics - A Personal View of the First Fifty Years,” System Dynamics Review 23(2/3): 345-358.
Forrester, J.W., 2007b. “System Dynamics – the Next Fifty Years,” System Dynamics Review 23(2/3):359-370.
Luna-Reyes, Luis F. and Deborah L. Andersen. 2003. “Collecting and Analyzing Qualitative Data for System Dynamics: Methods and Models,” System Dynamics Review 19(4): 271-296.
Stave, K. 2002. “Using System Dynamics to Improve Public Participation in Environmental Decisions,” System Dynamics Review 18(2): 139-167
1. Special books
Sterman, John. 2000. Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. Boston, MA: McGraw-Hill.
Senge, Peter, 2010. The Fifth Discipline: The Art and Practice of the Learning Organization (New and Revised Edition). Taipei: Tianxia Culture. (The blog comes to the online bookstore for 50% off before 3/31). You can also use old editions of books.
Han Zhao, 2009. System dynamics - the key to exploring dynamic complexity. Taichung: Canghai Bookstore.
2. Journal articles
Coyle, Geoff. 2000. “Qualitative and Quantitative Modeling in System Dynamics: Some Research Questions,” System Dynamics Review 16(3): 225-244.
Forrester, J.W., 2007a. “System Dynamics - A Personal View of the First Fifty Years,” System Dynamics Review 23(2/3): 345-358.
Forrester, J.W., 2007b. “System Dynamics – the Next Fifty Years,” System Dynamics Review 23(2/3):359-370.
Luna-Reyes, Luis F. and Deborah L. Andersen. 2003. “Collecting and Analyzing Qualitative Data for System Dynamics: Methods and Models,” System Dynamics Review 19(4): 271-296.
Stave, K. 2002. “Using System Dynamics to Improve Public Participation in Environmental Decisions,” System Dynamics Review 18(2): 139-167
| 評分項目 Grading Method | 配分比例 Grading percentage | 說明 Description |
|---|---|---|
| 平時作業平時作業 Daily homework |
40 | 隔週作業 |
| 上課參與上課參與 Participate in class |
20 | 包括上課發言、作業討論、個案練習。 |
| 出席出席 Attend |
10 | 出席狀況 |
| 學期報告學期報告 term report |
30 | 學期末研究個案報告 |
